MCN Dual Force Advancement Plan
While Cambodia is embroiled in border clashes with Thailand, it appears to be opening another front with neighboring Laos. Speculation has been rife about what exactly Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen and his son are trying to achieve. What are their true intentions behind these escalating conflicts?
According to a report from Global Times on July 26th, the Lao military made a significant announcement. They claimed that several Cambodian armed militants had illegally crossed the border near the junction of Laos, Thailand, and Cambodia. A fierce gun battle broke out between the intruders and Laos' border forces. Tragically, the clash resulted in three deaths and one injury. Furthermore, Laos authorities managed to capture ten Cambodian militants, confiscating four assault rifles and several grenades. The Lao authorities have indicated they are questioning the captives to better understand why Cambodian armed groups would infiltrate Lao territory.
展开剩余78%Meanwhile, the ongoing border conflict between Cambodia and Thailand, which has now entered its third day, has already displaced over 100,000 civilians living near the border. Over 30 people, including both soldiers and civilians, have lost their lives, with many more suffering injuries. Of particular concern is the report that both sides are now deploying heavier weaponry, including Cambodia's AR-2 long-range rocket launchers, which have a range of 150 kilometers. Additionally, Thailand’s military has announced it has captured the strategically important \"Eggplant Mountain,\" a border stronghold that had been under Cambodian control for years. If true, this marks a dangerous escalation in the conflict between the two nations.
As the fighting intensifies, both Thailand and Cambodia are leveraging diplomatic channels in an attempt to sway global opinion in their favor. Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet has sent a letter to the United Nations calling for action to \"stop Thailand’s invasion.\" Meanwhile, Thailand has sent official letters to 26 countries, including major powers such as China, the United States, and Russia, accusing Cambodia of being the aggressor and claiming that Thailand's military actions are purely self-defense.
When it comes to military strength, Thailand clearly holds a significant advantage. With a standing army of over 360,000 soldiers, Thailand’s military force is three times the size of Cambodia’s. Not only does Thailand dominate in terms of army equipment, but it also holds a commanding superiority in both the naval and air force sectors.
Given this imbalance, one might wonder why Cambodia would choose to simultaneously provoke conflict with another neighbor—Laos. Despite Laos not being a military powerhouse in Southeast Asia, and ranking near the bottom in terms of military strength, it is still puzzling why Cambodia would open a second front when already in a precarious situation with Thailand.
So, what exactly sparked the Cambodia-Laos confrontation? The most likely explanation, at least at this point, is that it could be a \"misunderstanding\" or even a \"false flag\" operation. The location of the conflict is near the shared border of Cambodia, Thailand, and Laos, an area that has long been a point of contention between Thailand and Cambodia. It’s not far from the front lines of the Thai-Cambodian conflict, which raises the possibility that Cambodian militants may have mistakenly crossed into Laos, thus triggering the confrontation.
In fact, Thailand has reportedly been working to forge an alliance with Laos to jointly counter Cambodia. On the 26th, Thailand's military accused Cambodia of intentionally shelling Laos' historical landmarks, a move they suggested was meant to mislead global public opinion and place the blame on Thailand’s forces. Thailand's military vehemently condemned Cambodia for not following the \"rules of engagement,\" calling such actions dishonorable.
It is evident that Thailand is trying to stir up a sense of unity and shared hostility toward Cambodia within Laos, further pressuring Phnom Penh. Under these circumstances, Hun Sen and his son must act swiftly to quell the rising tensions with Laos and prevent a potential \"backfire.\" If the situation worsens and Laos joins the fray, Cambodia will find itself trapped in a perilous position with enemies on both sides. The ongoing battle with Thailand, coupled with an escalating conflict with Laos, would leave Cambodia fighting on two fronts, making for an extremely disadvantageous situation.
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